Daily Fantasy Football line-ups - The Key Fundamentals to Success
We’re going to assume that you have read the basics about how to play daily fantasy football at our featured sites and are familiar with competition structures and the team selection process. If not, feel free to visit our reviews page for all the relevant information. Now in order to become successful at daily fantasy football we cannot over-emphasise the importance of grasping a thorough understanding of the rules of the game you are playing and any associated scoring subtleties. If you have played in traditional season long fantasy football contests you will have more than likely noticed the tendency for the scoring to focus on goals, assists and clean sheets. These are still important but the emergence of daily fantasy football has seen a greater emphasis placed on other skill areas such as tackling, pass completion, shots on target, fouls and so on. These vary from game operator to game operator but we feel that if you put the right fundamentals in place you will give yourself a much better chance of ‘cashing’ in these contests. We’ve identified 7 key areas that the fantasy football manager should strive to excel in.
Master these 7 Pillars of Success to increase your Daily Fantasy Football expertise levels:
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Understand the optimum playing formation of the game you are playing
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Never under-estimate the importance of playing time
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Know each team’s goal expectancies for all fixtures within a contest
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Be able to identify players who might be under-valued
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Learn how to allocate expenditure to maximise your chances of success
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Become an authority on set-piece takers
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Tailor your tactics to suit your chosen contest
To illustrate this we have done a case study on Mondogoal, one of a handful of operators that is trying hard to establish itself as the market leader for daily fantasy football, and will provide you with some of the relevant information that is needed to start putting together winning line-ups based on our 7 Golden Rules.
Case Study 1a - Mondogoal Analysis
No matter which game operator you choose to play with its imperative that you try to ascertain the optimum playing formation to utilise. One of the novel features of Mondogoal is the option to be able to export all player stats into a CSV file to make analysing and comparing player data even easier. This is a great tool and can be used as a starting point to devise and fine-tune a strategic approach that can be applied to all contests within their competition lobby.
Mondogoal list players by starting position and the following table gives an overview of how each position performed during the 2014/15 English Premier League season:
On observation it seems clear that midfielders and forwards have a greater potential for higher scores than defenders and goalkeepers. Since Mondogoal limit most contests to 4 selections per team a 3-man defence seems the way to go. Even if you favour the block defence approach you will still be able to accomplish this by using the goalkeeper as that 4th same team defender. For this particular operator we recommend that you try to utilise a 343 or 352 formation.
When it comes to playing time Mondogoal’s scoring system awards points for minutes played and substitutes are not permitted so when entering a contest it is very important that you try to find 11 players that will start. We cover this area in more detail in our Know your team news - how to become an authority on daily fantasy football article so make sure you reference that. Mondogoal have indicated that they might introduce ‘late-swap’ functionality at some point in the future but until that happens it’s vital that you confirm your selections as late as possible prior to the first match in the contest to ensure that there are no last minute surprises.
Team goal expectancies will have a huge bearing on the scoring potential of your selected players for both defensive and offensive actions. With Mondogoal certain players are penalised if they concede more than 1 goal forfeiting any bonus points for clean sheets or single goal games at the same time. It’s a similar story for forwards. Let’s use Harry Kane as an example and we will assume that he scores around 40% of Tottenham’s goals. There’s a big difference between picking him in a home game versus Watford where Spurs might be expected to score over 2 goals as against picking him in an away game at Manchester United where Spurs goal expectancy might be around the 1 goal mark. We include goal expectancies in our MLS Hotcard and Premier League team of the week articles but try to familiarise yourself with how these are calculated. Use the bookmakers odds as a good benchmark and you will soon get the gist of it.
We’ve written a couple of strategy articles where we discuss players who may be under-valued. These include Jack of Trumps – the sleeper in the pack, Ahead of the ‘Handicapper’ and Playing formations and managerial incompetence - the nightmare scenario. If you can isolate one or two of these they could be like gold-dust. Good examples include players who have had limited playing time, players who may frequently be played out of position due to their versatility and favourable game conditions where points expectancies might be higher than a player’s average.
Fantasy football managers love the thrill they experience when allocating their budget. However, you will find that daily fantasy football budgets are often a lot ‘tighter’ than what you may have experienced if you’ve played in traditional season-long contests so you might not be able to afford to include quite so many of the more expensive options in your team. Roughly the same fundamentals can be applied for all games regardless of operator. In the case of Mondogoal you are given £100m to spend on 11 players. That equates to roughly £9.1m per selection. It becomes a trade-off whereby you include more expensive options at the expense of cheaper purchases. With midfielders and forwards having greater scope for big scores under Mondogoal’s scoring system you’re more likely to see a bigger proportion of your budget being utilised on these players. Each playing position is discussed in more detail in our selecting goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders and forwards sections.
Determining which players will be the designated set-piece takers is an essential component of the fantasy manager’s armoury. In addition to points for goals from penalties and free-kicks and points for assists Mondogoal also awards points for shots on target. Familiarising yourself with these can be time consuming but we’ve written a piece on their importance called Set-piece specialists - what you need to know and also provide you with some invaluable guides that list players who have been assigned these duties for both the English Premier League and the MLS. If you can keep up to date with these you might just weed out a few extra points that will keep you one step ahead of your competition.
Our final piece of advice is to apply tactics that are applicable to your choice of contest. If you are playing in big field tournaments you will be looking for a well-balanced team but may take a chance on a few players who are capable of big points variations. In smaller field contests you may well go for more consistent types. For more advice on selecting a contest check out Fantasy Rising – Prepare and Prosper and for tips on possible adversaries feel free to reference our Don’t swim with the Sharks article. Daily fantasy football is still a learning curve for many so use sensible money management tactics while you find your feet.
If you can master these 7 Pearls of Wisdom there’s every reason to believe that you will be featuring on Daily Fantasy Football leaderboards on regular occasions!
Now fine-tune your strategy by focusing on starting positions.
How to pick daily fantasy football goalkeepers that offer the best value?
How to select your daily fantasy football defenders?
How to find midfielders that are pivotal to daily fantasy football success?
How to choose forwards to help you win real money playing daily fantasy football?
2010 - present
2010 - present